Amos and Andy on the Campaign Trail

Amos

De las' time we tole you all dat we was gonna do de hope an' de change....but we was lie'n.   Dis time, doh...de cracker dawgs, deh gonna give y'all de rope an' de chains.   yjou'll see...yjou gonna see.

Andy (l)
Rendering respect to the Flag for the first
time in his adult life

Buy your tickets to the next stop of Amos and Andy's minstrel show, coming sooner or later to a location near you, maybe.  Don't worry about advance sales, because the crowds are not very big....the show is not very good.   It plays better in the Hamptons, Beverly Hills, and Hyaniss Port, where the audiences are rich, but not very bright.

El Gringo Viejo

A Few Political Realities

Undisciplined hunting dogs, howling and yelping, pulling at leashes.   They know it all.   They are ready to go.  They are in the field.   Their handlers are drinking a lot of beer before the hunt.   The dogs are barking, howling, and yelping....then they break their leashes and bolt into the field.

     Three hours later, the last dog is found, mired in the mud and muck of the swampy, duck hunting spot.  Two have been bitten by water moccasins.  One chased down a possum and had his tongue bitten so bad he'll have to go the vet.   It was a disaster.

     The undisciplined hunting dogs are the political analysts, pollsters, and membres de reportage of the America media.    These comments do not refer only to the ridiculous observations and conclusions made by those great thinkers who were lamenting or celebrating the polls showing Obama winning in a landslide.    There are others who blabber forth about the "Hispanic vote" until the power grid browns out.

     We would like to quickly cover both points.   This will arm the reader with ready ammunition to bring any blowhard to a quick end when he is bloviating about "the polls" and/or the "Hispanic vote".

 

     (1)     There is not so much as  from five to eight percent of the overall voter turnout for November that has not made a determination concerning how they are going to vote.   Shifting, pro or con, or up or down, the 92 to 95 percent of the electorate that actually will vote in November will be slight.   Those who have not decided will probably not vote, or they will vote for the challenger, if previous patterns guide us correctly.
     Forty-two percent of the probable voters are mentally deficient, or committed marxists, or on the dole, or feel like victims, or hate anyone who has the least little thing more about which he/she can be jealous and resentful, or have been given a pack of cigarettes by a New Acorn community organiser outside the shelter to vote to-day, or are dull, thuggish, self-entitled, labour union dunces. These are the people with no souls and/or with battery acid for blood.    Many are mean hags who just hate men.....and pretty women....and people who smoke....and people who smile.
      About forty-nine percent of this cycle's voters are people who asked themselves, "What is best for the country and my children and grandchildren?"   They will vote even to override their self-interest.   They are people with souls.
       If the people who have souls and who do not throw pampers out into the parking lot all go out to vote, then this election is all over, right now....done....stick a fork in it.



      (2)      There are four States wherein are found a majority of "Hispanics" in the United States.    They are California, Texas, New York, and Florida.   The Electoral College votes of the first three are already determined.  Every "Hispanic" in those States can vote or not vote, and it will not affect the result of how those States are going to tally their Electors in the Electoral College.    California is an insane asylum, and they hate people who hate homosexuals and crippled Eskimoes, so they will vote Democrat.   If not one "Hispanic" votes or if they all vote, it will not change California's Electoral College vote.  It all goes National Socialist Democrat.
      New York, aside from many nice and noble stretches and places, is the hell-hole of the teeming masses and the politically correct zombies patrolling every corner of the State.  It does not matter a whit how the "Hispanic" voter votes or does not vote in New York.   The State is destined, like any State in full decline, to send all of its electors to the Electoral College to vote for the National Socialist Democrat Party.
      The Republic of Texas, which is a place where considerable normalcy still takes place, has about one-fourth of its population within the "Hispanic" group.   It does not matter if all qualified "Hispanics" vote, or do not vote, the Electors Texas sends to the Electoral College will all vote for Romney/Ryan.    THIS DOES NOT EVEN CONSIDER THE FACT THAT, IN TEXAS, 40 TO 50 PERCENT OF "HISPANICS" IN TEXAS WILL VOTE FOR THE ROMNEY/RYAN TICKET.

      Only in the State of Florida is there any sense that the "Hispanic" vote will have some bearing on an the Electoral College delegation.   But even there we have the situation that since all "Hispanics" are exactly the same, they are also, of course, completely different.   Generally speaking the "Hispanics" of Cuban background will tend to vote 70/30 for Romney/Ryan and the "Hispanics"  of Mexican and other Latin American  origin will vote about 65/35 for Obama.   There are more Cubans in the "Hispanic" mix, and they will tend to vote more heavily, while the other "Hispanics" will tend to vote in lesser ratio as part of their whole.    In Texas, for instance, the Mexican Americans in the southern tip of Texas turn out with slightly less than 25 percent of those registered.   Across the Rio Grande, during the last presidentials in Mexico, "real live" Mexicans turned out at a 65% rate.    Latins in the dispersed population in Texas tend to vote in the same percentage as the universe of voters in the rest of Republic of Texas, around 60 to 70 percent.

      So, while it is a noble thing to vote, and perhaps all people who are legally registered should vote, in this case the "Hispanic" vote is almost moot.   In New Mexico, the large Spanish/Mexican ancestry cohort swirls and mixes its vote;  reference the female, Republican, Spanish/Mexican ancestry governor.   She will be addressing the Republican Convention in a couple of weeks.  The Arizona situation is similar to Texas in terms of percentages, and many, many of the Latins tend to vote unpredictably, frequently Republican....as does the Nevada situation.   Ditto, Colorado...where, as in all the other named and un-named States, the rule is "Hispanics" on welfare and public assistance vote Democrat, and "Hispanics" not on welfare or public assistance tend to vote Republican.   Imagine that.
     The real problem is to convince the really intellectually challenged Geezers  that Romney and Ryan are not going to "take away" their Medicare and Social Security.   Sixty percent of the Geezers already understand the Ryan proposal and they favour it.   We need to convince the other forty percent to either vote correctly or, failing that, remind them to vote on Wednesday, the 7th.   This concerns especially the State of Florida, although we should be able to hold 99% of The Villages population and similar clusters (which are many) in Florida.    At this point Florida can be carried with just normal hard work and voter mobilisation.

Later, some discussion about our place in Mexico, birds, and such things.    Your time, attention, and patience is appreciated at this place, always.
El Gringo Viejo 

Why we need to follow Rasmussen

For those who might have been confused by El Gringo Viejo's ramblings about the polls and the ins and outs concerning polling, we'll just serve this up so that our readership will be a bit more comfitted.

     This does not excuse anyone from making and 10 - 100 dollar credit card contribution and making sure that all of our people turn out to vote for a couple of soft-liberal Republican "conservatives".   It is critical to remove the marxist stench from the White House.  It still has that strange gulagish scent from the 1993 - 2000 period.

     We do feel that Ryan's big-government solution to the Medicare mess might, in fact, be the best method to take away the issue for all times from the National Socialist Democrats.   It will essentially personalise and privatise the issue, making each person the owner of his account instead of having to depend upon any future Father O'bamaham to "give us our health care".   By the year 2025 the whole program will be transformed into a portable and self-owned "policy" instead of an "entitlement".   That is where I have always wanted both Medicare and Social Security to go.   Private, numbered, individually held accounts, each with a number of fairly conservative alternatives that will permit the monies to grow and be passed on in the event it is not used.

     So, while my preferences are not wholly requited, this is a situation that suggests that 95% of a loaf is better than no loaf at all.   Liberal/moderate Republicans who are on a slighly rightward road to Damascus are 5,430 times better than what we have right now.   Plus, an argument and bargaining session between all manners of Republicans....rightwing crazies, tea party, liberals, country-clubbers, and the like....will result in something like an A- solution.   If we control the House, Senate, and 1600 Pennsylvania....the Nation's interest will be better served.

Once again, for the president, this is catastrophic



As always, your kind atttention and patience is sincerely appreciated.

El Gringo Viejo

O'Reilly does it again. El Zorro caught him, though!

We are brought to a wistful smile when we hear someone include Bill O'Reilly among the various and sundry conservative personalities and pundits.   He is anything but a conservative.   He is certainly not a liberal, but that does not make him a conservative.   O'Reilly does, however, represent what is worst in American political thinking.  Lacking principles, he relies upon reason.   Reason is like fire and electricity....very useful until they burn your house down or melt your bones into your boots.    Reason is what the serpent sold Eve in the Garden.   She convinced Adam to "follow this line of thinking" which seemed very reasonable at the time.
     Being reasonable is what has brought us to the mess where we are, nationally, in terms of our fiscal situation and governmental burden at this time.    We have stated this before, but it merits re-statement, and frequent re-statement;  Doing something on behalf of the American people, reaching across the aisle, compromising, being reasonable, being realistic, and being bi-partisan/non-partisan/non-profit has brought us to the point where three-fourths of what is considered the Black Race in America is mired in the abyss of hopeless, inextractable degeneration.    It has given us a debt larger that the total wealth of the 150 poorest countries in the world, combined!

     Rule by banal platitudes and focus-group one-liners....aspirates.   No mas! No mas!   El Gringo Viejo has railed about O'Reilly's ridiculous, wave-of-the-hand dismissal of gasoline prices going up as a market situations resulting from hundreds of ever-changing, uncontrollable influences, situations, and conditions.   We know that most Americans have some sense of entitlement to dollar a gallon gasoline.....but the fact is that if we have dollar a gallon gasoline, that would be great, except for one thing.    There would be no gasoline, no oil company taxes, no top-dollar blue-collar wages, no commonly held stocks producing dividends for stock holders, no enegy innovations, no explorations, no nothing.
      His dismissiveness, as one follows the thought channel, leads with certainty to oil company nationalisation....and then really high gasoline prices....because the income derived from gasoline overcharges is funneled into the treasury to pay for bureaucrats and their programs, like paying the dole to Muslim men who have four wives, all receiving support from the Queen's Exchequer for the wives' 22 children....all permissible under Shiria law.
       In short, O'Reilly is a braying jackass and absolutely no conservative.   He is that particular type of dullard who says things like...."Well I feel like there should be..." and "Everybody knows it, and that's why they have to keep it secret"....He is like the braying drunk at the end of the bar who outshouts all the other drunks (and sober people) and when he looks around and finds no one in the saloon, says to himself, "That's another argument that I won".

Organic Ploughshare.   Unlike Al Gore,
who actually ploughed the rocky hillsides
of his Tennessee homeland with a team of
mules, El Gringo Viejo simply rode Ulyssis
or Sherman while his grandfather did the
ploughing.

NOW OF GREATER IMPORTANCE:
     The following instructive electronic mail was sent to Mr. O'Reilly's attention by the ever vigilant El Zorro.   This is, simply put, one man who knows what he is talking about telling another man who is an ignorant blowhard what the facts are.
  
Bill O’Reilly,

      You should have your facts before going on the air.  You obviously have no experience with guns.  The ATF 4473 is required for all  civilian gun transfers at gun shows as well as dealer and interstate sales.  The only exception is an intrastate sale or exchange between private citizens in which case the individual who sells or purveys the gun remains responsible for anything that happens with it no matter when or where it goes.  That is the law.

       AK 47s are in two configurations, fully automatic and semi automatic as are AR 15s and other familiar rifles.  You make up some catch title, “heavy armament”, that further compounds the confusion.  The fully automatic rifles (machineguns to you), are only available to citizens if they were manufactured before the 1986 weapons ban signed by Ronald Reagan.  Then they have to have Federal the reporting i.e. ATF 4s, ATF 4, Tax forms, fees, extensive background checks and so much more… you should study so you will know.

    Those of us who appreciate the freedom to protect ourselves and the Second Amendment know the law and abide by it.  We report appropriately and respect the responsibility.  There are a very small few who can do a lot of harm to our society by circumventing the laws we have and that harm extends to the hysteria you exhibit and display for those who watch your TV show.

     Argumentative news sells even if the argument is inaccurate.  The seed is planted.

Z
(El Zorro) (the actual e-mail was signed by El Zorro's normal, citizen, legal name.)

     O'Reilly's logic flows from one reasonable position to the next.   And then one morning all the swords have been beaten into ploughshares and the lambs are laying down by the wolves.

Can't we all just get along?

   Since nobody has a gun, we'll all be safe....right, Mr. O'Reilly?    Are you going to "look out for me and mine".....or will you just tell us to dial 9 - 1 - 1 ?
     As usual El Zorro is right concerning this issue.   And, as frequently happens when a person tries to be "reasonable", Bill O'Reilly is wrong.

9- 1 -1 ,   9 - 1 -1,   Hello?   9 - 1 - 1,   Is anybody out there?   Hello?
El Gringo Viejo

The following missive was tossed through the window of our Quinta on the face of the Sierra Madre, late last night.   It is from El Zorro, who is always nice enough to throw his message-wrapped stone through an open window, saving El Gringo Viejo the need of re-glazing any damages.   El Zorro states better than does El Gringo Viejo the true ire that those of us with children, grandchildren, nieces, nephews, grand nephews, and unimportant things such as that, feel in our souls during these days.

 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

To Gringo in Rural Mexico - Voice of the Sierra Madre Occidental

3:18 PM (23 hours ago)

from El Zorro 

Right on! Right on!

The ideology of change:  A basic truth that “The life of man upon earth is a warfare…”  All evils are caused by exploitation of the poor by the rich. The community organizer’s truth is not fixed.  “To him it is relative and changing: everything to him is relative and changing.”

Hope and change are meaningless to the organizer as in the “fundamental change of America”.  A war that is fought with positions that constantly change to achieve winning at any cost.  Obama’s change is whatever he wants it to be.  The only thing for sure is if left alone there will be a change, one so horrific that it does not occur to sane people that it ultimately will cause pain we cannot imagine.  Those who drink the cool aid think they will be on the train with him just because they say Right on! Right on Barry!  Guess what.  The train has only the engine. 

The word change is something most of us think of as something necessary, else why consider it.  We change our socks because it is necessary.  We buy a new car because the old one doesn’t serve us.  But what is the necessity for a fundamental change of America?  Since to us, change means necessity to take a different direction we believe this fundamental change must be necessary.  We have to change so we will know why we need to.

We proletariats are not fighting but unbeknownst to us we are being fought.  We did not know how awful our lives were until Obama told us.  We did not think of change until he offered it to us.  Now we have to have it.  We all had healthcare but we now know that we don’t because he told us.  The rich are robbing from us because he told us.  We are the rich because we make $200k a year and take home $75k and we have to pay more.  He told us and we believe him we need to change and what else, oh yes have hope.

We now know that things were so much worse than he thought they were so he needs more time to fix it for us.  More more change.  More more war against the middle class uhhh…errrr upper class.  Yes he can again, still.  You feel me?  Right on! Right on!

A Manchurian candidate is not far from the truth if not the truth.  Obama is a loner with a made up history which is so full of holes it has to be made up.  There has to be an entire army of dark creatures collaborating this fiction.  Could it be the truth that he will not release his Occidental college transcripts because they will prove he was/is not a citizen?  The cover-ups are huge.  There is an elephant in this room.

There is something very wrong that this fool gets 46% approval, or whatever it is, for the job he is doing.  Any approval at all is an atrocity.  What happened to thinking?  It was here just a decade ago.  I don’t get it and I am glad I am my age.  This is not the future I counted on so many years ago. 

Rambling,  but what else can we do but yell, scream, and get in the face of all the whiney souls who don’t get it whether they hear us or not.  Whether they are friends, family, acquaintances, enemies, or who cares who they are. 

We hope our rage excuses whatever incoherence this message has,  but sometimes being coherent does not provide gratification, quite frankly.















(The last we knew of anything was the sound of hooves galloping back into some canyon recesses that we can see, but none of us can find.  We are almost certain that in the daytime, he is among us as though he were one of us.  It is good to know that he is out there, watching the forces of totalitarianism and corruption.
El Gringo Viejo)

Wierd Fox News Poll? (Amended 21:46, 10 August 2012)

El Gringo Viejo has had a bit of experience with polling in the past.  His training and much of his university level education was involved with the obtaining and analysis of social demographic information and attitudes.

The most reliable general polling instrument available to the reasonable public at this time is, of course, the Rasmussen.   At one time Zogby did well, but then began to politicise itself into virulent anti-Israeli contortions that had a bad effect on outcomes.

Of the "mainstream" type polling groups, only Gallup makes the least effort to be anywhere near accurate.   They tend to move towards full accuracy towards the very end of a campaign cycle.   Polling groups such as Quinnipiac, Pew, PPP, and therefore the Real Clear Politics polling average are off from 5 to 8 percent by the end of the campaign.

Therefore, when Fox News aired the Obama 49 - Romney 40 poll to-day, it was immediately rejected by this observer because it flew in the face of yesterday's posting of the Rasmussen projection of  Romney 47 - Obama 43.     That calculation is almost exactly the reading of to-day's Gallup analysis.   Interestingly, Gallup tends to poll more into 'all registered'  whereas Rasmussen relies on samples of those who seem most apt to vote.  This time they concurred.

These figures, by any historic standard, are catastrophic for an incumbent president.  Rasmussen's analysis of "strongly in favour"  of Obama as opposed to "strongly opposed" to Obama's policy leaves Obama in a   - 16  (negative sixteen) deficit.   Catastrophic.   Only about 25% of the voting population is remotely interested in "defending the parapets", while almost 50% of the voting population is adamant about driving the marxist and his handlers out of the White House.  Once again, we repeat, and in neither personal nor politically motivated terms, these figures are unprecedented in a re-election bid for an incumbent president.  They are catastrophic.

So, El Gringo Viejo must only assume that someone within the FOX News operation is pulling FOX New's chain, or their polling agency is pulling their  chain, or the execution of the poll was done incompetently.    It is very, very difficult to play outrider to both Rasmussen and Gallup to that extent without suspicion being raised about the competence, or intent, of the FOX News polling agency's ability and/or motive.

Thanks for your attention.

El Gringo Viejo


Amendment:

GALLUP DAILY

Aug 7-9, 2012 – Updates daily at 1 p.m. ET; reflects one-day change

Obama Approval 

43%

-3

Obama Disapproval

51%

+3

Presidential Election

Obama

46%

-1

Romney

46%

+1

7-day rolling average

Employed Full Time

67.0%

-0.3

Underemployed

16.8%

+0.2

Unemployed

8.2%

+0.1

Job Creation Index

21

-

Economic Confidence

-30

-

Consumer Spending

$68

-6

Thriving

52%

-1

Struggling

44%

-

Suffering

4%

-

Happiness

44%

-1

Stress

11%

-2

    Our statement above that the Gallup Poll showed that the voter's disposition breaks out at 46 to 46.   My error in stating in the original article that Romney was ahead.  My thinking was probably stuck into the Approval / Disapproval figures of  43 Approve  -  51 Disapprove.     Both the disposition and approval numbers in any regard, for an incumbent president, are catastrophic.
    
     Also, please note that the employment number shows a decrease, while the underemployed and unemployed both showed significant increases over the past three day period polled.   Economic confidence figure, according to responses by Gallup, shows a net negative impression of the economy of  -30, which would translate to 65 /things are bad to 35/things are okay.   Catastrophic for the president.

Thanks for allowing this correction and for having patience with my sloppy work.