Monday 22 April 2019

Please read the bottom third of this submission, after reading the first two-thirds

The OROG and other visitors are asked to read the American Research Group, Inc. data first, and then catch our commentary at the end of the page.   Thanks.


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American Research Group, Inc.

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April 22, 2019

Trump Overall Job Approval Slips

A total of 39% of Americans say they approve of the way Donald Trump
is handling his job as president and 57% say they disapprove of the way Trump
is handling his job according to the latest survey from the American Research
Group. In March, 41% approved and 55% disapproved.

When it comes to Trump's handling of the economy, 41% of Americans
approve and 53% disapprove. In March, 43% approved and 52% disapproved.
Among Americans registered to vote, 40% approve of the way Trump is handling
his job as president and 57% disapprove. On Trump's handling of the economy
42% of registered voters approve and 53% disapprove.

Of the 39% saying they approve of the way Trump is handling his job, 91% say
the national economy is getting better, 72% say they expect the national
economy to be better in a year, 58% say the financial situations in their
households are getting better, and 68% say they expect the financial
situations in their households will be better in a year.

Of the 57% saying they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job, less
than 1% say the national economy is getting better, 4% say they expect the
national economy to be better in a year, 2% say the financial situations in
their households are getting better, and 8% say they expect the financial
situations in their households will be better in a year.

The results presented here are based on 1,100 completed interviews conducted
among a nationwide random sample of adults April 17 through 20, 2019. The
theoretical margin of error for the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage
points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Overall, 39% of Americans say that they approve of the way Donald Trump is
handling his job as president, 57% disapprove, and 4% are undecided.


Trump job approvalApproveDisapproveUndecided
Apr 201939%57%4%
Mar 201941%55%4%
Feb 201944%53%3%
Jan 201941%54%5%
Dec 201840%57%3%
Nov 201842%55%3%
Oct 201842%55%3%
Sep 201837%59%4%
Aug 201836%59%5%
Jul 201837%57%6%
Jun 201840%54%6%
May 201837%58%5%
Apr 201838%56%6%


About this Survey:

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.
The American Research Group has been conducting national surveys of
consumers since 1985.

Sample Size: 1,100 completed interviews among a random sample of all adults
age 18 and older living in households in the continental United States
(see methodology for details).

There were 249 Republicans, 350 Democrats, 394 independents, and 10
non-voters in the sample.

Sample Dates: April 17-20, 2019
Margin of Error: ± 3 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where
opinion is evenly split.
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    Of El Gringo Viejo's few above-average capabilities is demographic analysis.
My eldest brother, the middle brother to a large extent, and I all were descended
from people who studied in the area of agronomy, archeology, religious history,
anthropology, sociology, and industrial and cultural history.  All four of
the three brothers' grandparents were drawn out from the above menu.
     We would like to point out why this opinion poll is a classic Trojan Mule,
designed to lull the stupid, the undiscerning, and the overly busy into ingesting
knowledge that is as dangerous as it is wrong.   It is the method by which
almost all political polling operations work.  In our not so humble
opinion the Rasmussen operation and oddly, the LATimes polling
group are the ones who actually try to establish a demographic
research pool that correctly represents the demographic pool to
be researched.
     The OROG and the visitor will note what El Gringo Viejo dragged
out of the fine print of the American Research Group "explanation"
of their investigation and interpretation procedures.  The sample includes
essentially a composition of 23% Republicans, 32% Democrats, 35%
Independents, and 10% "non-voters".    These percentages are rough
but fair, and point out that there is an inherent bias caused by the inequity
of sample groups.   The sample calls for about nine per cent more
Democrats as well as ten per cent "non-voters".
     There is also a high probability that the Democrat sample had been
filtered and analysed before telephone calls or direct contact interviews
were officially conducted or initiated.

     Were I to be grading this poll and its engineers, the grade would be a D - at best.

El Gringo Viejo
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